REF’S PROJECTION: Sample Bias + Shy Trump Voter Bias + Late breaking voters (FBI + incumbency rule) – Clinton 248, Trump 290
FBI refers to the reopening of the investigation and the impact of it. Incumbency rule – normally if incumbents are not above 50%, they are in trouble. I am using 47% as a guide. Where she is below that, she is in danger.
State of Florida Prediction: Trump 49.3, Clinton
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